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Item Open Access Visualising tsunami evacuation modelling using Virtual Reality: New Brighton case study(University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand, 2025) Khan, Humayun; Nilsson, Daniel; Harding, NicholasThis technical report describes the process of Virtual Reality (VR) visualisation of agent based tsunami evacuation modelling results for New Brighton in Christchurch, New Zealand. The visualisation is a part of the MBIE Smart Ideas project called “Agent models of tsunami evacuation behaviour to improve planning and preparedness”, which is led by GNS Science/Te Pū Ao. In the report, it is described how the terrain and movement of agents (people) was generated, and how simulation results can be visualised in VR using a Head Mounted Display (HMD). In an appendix to the report, it is described how to install and run the VR visualiser.Item Open Access Identifying elite family selections for growth and form in NZDFI’s Eucalyptus bosistoana 2012 progeny trials and for wood properties assessment(Ministry for Primary Industries, 2025) McConnochie R; Millen P; Altaner, ClemensSome fast-growing and naturally durable eucalyptus species, including Eucalyptus bosistoana, are adapted to growing in many regions of New Zealand and offer the potential for a short-rotation regime to some forest growers. Increasing the production of high-quality XyloGene® seed from Proseed’s clonal orchards ensures durable eucalypt growers can plant the best genetics available and make it possible to scale-up planting a durable hardwood forest resource. This project aims to identify elite new trees to expand Proseed’s commercial seed production of XyloGene® branded E. bosistoana seed. Assessments of three replicated NZDFI E. bosistoana progeny trials have provided additional data to identify top families for growth and form. The assessments also provide data for selection of candidate trees of suitable size in each family at two sites from which core samples will be taken for measurement of heartwood and extractive content. An analysis to rank and select elite families has been undertaken using recent growth and form data collected from the Dillon and McNeill sites. Data collected in 2019 from the JNL Ngaumu site were also included. The means were ranked and the sum of the rankings for the two traits – growth and form – were calculated to produce an overall ranking of the families for each site. These results have provided the basis for selection of around 780 trees from 81 families at the McNeill site and 770 trees from 80 families at the Dillons site, for coring. This field work is planned for autumn 2025.Item Open Access Guidance for Large Wood Installations in New Zealand Rivers(2024) Barrett I; Pahlow M; Cochrane, Thomas; Espiner C; Fisher P; Bloxham M; Hussain E; James TItem Open Access Career commitment and turnover intention for engineers in Australia(University of Canterbury, 2024) Williams, Holly; Djung, Sarah; Beckert, Nic; Crossin, Enda; Näswall, KatharinaExecutive Summary: The engineering profession is undergoing significant changes due to automation and shifting career dynamics, highlighting a critical need for longitudinal research to better understand the evolving nature of engineering practice and its implications. This report aims to re-examine hypotheses concerning belonging, engineering identities, self-efficacy, wellbeing, career commitment, and turnover intentions, exploring the factors that influence Australian engineers to leave their jobs or report higher levels of career satisfaction and commitment. The methods involved descriptive analysis of correlations between factors, followed by regression modelling to identify the most significant predictors of career outlook and wellbeing, as well as determining which baseline factors could predict job departure within 12 months. The study found that Australian engineers generally reported strong career commitment, high wellbeing, and low turnover intentions, with belonging and meaningful work emerging as the most significant predictors of positive career outlook and wellbeing, while high turnover intentions were the sole significant predictor of voluntary job departure within 12 months. This report concludes that enhancing the sense of belonging and meaningful work are the most crucial factors in shaping the career outlook and wellbeing of Australian engineers, with supervisor support proving significantly more important than coworker support. Identifying the drivers of belonging and meaningful work is essential for fostering stronger work environments where Australian engineers feel committed and satisfied in their careers. Further research is required to explore confounding factors, such as gender and age, which may offer additional insights into career outlook.Item Open Access Career commitment and turnover intention for engineers in New Zealand(University of Canterbury, 2024) Djung, Sarah; Williams, Holly; Beckert, Nic; Crossin, Enda; Näswall, KatharinaExecutive Summary: The engineering profession is undergoing significant changes due to automation and shifting career dynamics, highlighting a critical need for longitudinal research to better understand the evolving nature of engineering practice and its implications. This report aims to re-examine hypotheses concerning belonging, engineering identities, self-efficacy, wellbeing, career commitment, and turnover intentions, exploring the factors that influence New Zealand engineers to leave their jobs or report higher levels of career satisfaction and commitment. The methods involved descriptive analysis of correlations between factors, followed by regression modelling to identify the most significant predictors of career outlook and wellbeing, as well as determining which baseline factors could predict job departure within 12 months. The report found a young, inexperienced, and broadly more female sample compared to the general population of New Zealand engineers. Across survey factors, New Zealand engineers reported strong career commitment, high wellbeing, and low turnover intentions, with meaningful work environments, high psychological safety on the job, and a sense of belonging being the most significant predictors of positive career outlook and satisfaction. High turnover intentions and job departures were associated with differences support from coworkers on work-related tasks. Enhancing the meaningfulness, psychological safety, belonging, and support from coworkers at the workplace are the key factors that drive New Zealand engineers to have longer, more fulfilling careers. Identifying the underlying drivers behind these key factors is essential for fostering stronger work environments. Further research is required to explore confounding factors, such as gender and age, which may offer additional insights into career outlook and wellbeing.Item Open Access Assessing paropsine damage on Eucalyptus trees with remote sensing(Forest Growers Research, 2022) Mann L; morgenroth, justin; Xu, Cong; Pawson SEXECUTIVE SUMMARY New Zealand forests comprise 10.1 million hectares of forests. Due to the sheer scale of managing these forests, remote sensing is increasingly used as a source of information for decision-making. Information on tree growth, mortality, and health related to climate or pest activity can be monitored and quickly mapped. Currently, no remote sensing methods exist to quantify foliar browse by paropsine beetles on Eucalyptus. Currently, defoliation assessments are performed through visual methods by ground-based observers. Such methods, like the Crown Damage Index (CDI), are time consuming, particularly at larger spatial scales, and potentially suffer from observer bias. Paropsine damage does not induce a colour change in foliage as would occur with a leaf-sucking insect. Instead, paropsines reduce canopy density by eating parts of leaves, thus altering their shape and area. Hence, LiDAR could be a suitable tool for paropsine defoliation assessment. This study aimed to evaluate the potential for LiDAR as a quantitative assessment of paropsine defoliation of Eucalyptus crowns as a replacement for the CDI. Three LiDAR scanners (VUX-240, VUX-1LR and L1) were used to collect data from a Eucalyptus trial in the Canterbury region (43°11'47.2"S 172°39'06.1"E) in September 2021 and March 2022. To measure the defoliation prediction accuracy of LiDAR we simultaneously collected CDI data for 55 tree crowns at the same date as the LiDAR data. A total of 57 LiDAR metrics were extracted for each of the 55 tree crowns. The best metrics model to predict CDI was statistically analysed with a Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR). Results: The results demonstrated 18 LiDAR metrics of interest and showed that LiDAR scanners could predict CDI with ±19.1-23.6 % error from the actual CDI observed in the field, with VUX-240 having the smallest error prediction (Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)=9.5 CDI units in September 2021), followed by the L1 scanner (RMSE=10.5 CDI units in March 2022), and VUX-1LR having the highest error prediction (RMSE=11.8 CDI units in September 2021 and RMSE=11.6 CDI units in March 2022). Key conclusions are: • All three scanners had comparable predictive abilities, meaning that all could possibly be used for paropsine defoliation assessment. • The actual error prediction shows promise as a healthy tree could be distinguished from a heavily defoliated tree. • More testing needs to be undertaken to increase the LiDAR defoliation prediction accuracy. These tests should occur in sites with a broader CDI range (e.g., the Marlborough region). • Future work needs to move away from the CDI and use a quantitative method of assessing crown defoliation that can be compared with the remotely sensed LiDAR data. This is important as the CDI is semi-quantitative and potentially subject to observer bias. • More testing needs to be undertaken to determine whether LiDAR can differentiate between paropsine beetle defoliation and trees where abiotic stresses have led to small leaves and/or sparse crownsItem Open Access National forest owner survey and resource inventory of alternative species. Stage One of Hawke’s Bay Region pilot project(Forest Growers Reserch, 2020) Xu, Cong; Palmer , HarrietThe Stage One objective of this project is to identify a suitable methodology for a NZ-wide survey and inventory of alternative species forests and their owners by undertaking a pilot study in Hawke’s Bay Region. This report presents the initial results of this pilot study. On the culmination of this first stage a ‘stop/go point’ will be reached, based on the estimated cost and funding required to continue with the objectives of two subsequent stages – (i) field work to better assess the quality, harvesting potential and owner objectives of the small-scale alternative species resource in the Hawke’s Bay Region and (ii) modelling to determine high, medium and low regional scenarios for the potential log supply from Hawke’s Bay existing alternative species forest resource.Item Open Access National forest owner survey and resource inventory of alternative species. Stage 2b: Mapping alternative species using remote sensing(Forest Growers Research, 2022) Xu, Cong; Manley, BruceThis study provides a proof of concept of using remote sensing to classify species of small-scale plantation at a regional level and achieved high classification accuracies for most species. Douglas-fir and eucalyptus were the two most accurately classified alternative species, with over 90% of producer’s accuracy. The most important input variable selected for the classification was DEM (Digital Elevation Model), suggesting that elevation plays an important role in differentiating plantation species. The accuracy of species classification highly depends on the availability of truthing data. In total, 2151 ha of alternative species were classified for Hawke’s Bay and a majority of them are eucalyptus, cypress and poplar. The transferability of classification derived from one region to another region is low due to regional variations in the topography, climate and species composition. In order to map the national cover of alternative species, truthing data that cover a range of species and ages classes from all regions are required. One limitation with the study is that pre-defining the geographic boundaries of alternative species is required to define the extent of classification, as the current small-scale plantation map developed by the School of Forestry may not pick up all the alternative species. Without the pre-defined boundaries, the classification approach tends to map other land covers as alternative species plantations due to a similar spectral signature.Item Open Access Underground Hydrogen Storage in the Taranaki region, New Zealand(University of Canterbury; commissioned by the Firstgas Group, 2022) Nicol, Andrew; Dempsey, David; Yates, Edward; Higgs, Karen; Beggs, Mac; Adam, LudmilaExecutive summary: Green hydrogen, generated from excess renewable electricity, will be an important component of the future zero-emissions energy system. Hydrogen has a wide range of applications including transport fuel, industrial feedstock, and electricity generation to meet excess demand. Hydrogen is projected to account for at least 10% of the global energy system in 20 years. At current energy demand, this corresponds to 72 PJ (~600,000 tonnes) of hydrogen annually in New Zealand, of which 7 to 18 PJ may need to be held in storage. Storage allows production to take advantage of intermittent renewable surplus at low cost, to accommodate peaks in energy demand, and to provide a strategic reserve. Meeting this storage demand would require up to 200 cryogenic tanks of the most advanced design, or about 500 vertical shafts, which are currently an unproven technology. It could also be met through subsurface storage in a small number (e.g., <10) of porous reservoirs. The large storage volumes of porous reservoirs, which are here referred to as Underground Hydrogen Storage (UHS), will permit larger-scale hydrogen production and provide sufficient capacity for managing out-of-phase supply and demand cycles. Globally, underground storage of pure (>98%) hydrogen has only been achieved in caverns excavated from salt deposits, which are not present in New Zealand. Instead, this report focuses on the potential for UHS in subsurface porous rock formations of Taranaki. Two types of storage systems are considered here, depleted oil and gas reservoirs and saline aquifers. Depleted oil and gas reservoirs are the most attractive of the two options because containment of buoyant fluids over geological time is proven, they are usually associated with extensive subsurface characterization, and have existing infrastructure that could be repurposed (e.g., wells and pipelines). Optimism in the published literature is high for storage in both aquifers and depleted natural gas reservoirs with foundational research and technical trials showing promising results. Effective UHS in porous-media requires the geological system to have sufficient storage capacity, deliverability and security of containment to meet operational specifications. Taranaki UHS systems require three key elements; i) a porous reservoir sandstone to store the hydrogen, ii) an effective geological cap rock (top seal) to prevent hydrogen migrating upwards out of the reservoir, and iii) a suitable geological trap to prevent the hydrogen migrating around the cap rock. The preponderance of hydrocarbon accumulations in the Taranaki region demonstrate that sedimentary strata commonly form effective reservoir-cap rock trap systems. The largest and geologically simplest traps are at the crests of anticlines at depths of <2.5 km. The suitability of five reservoir sandstone formations and three cap rock mudstone formations are considered here. These rocks range in age, mineral composition, physical properties, and burial depths. Reservoir sandstones range in thickness from 10s to 100s of metres, with permeabilities of mainly 10-100 mD. The Tariki Sandstone in the Ahuroa field and McKee Sandstone in the McKee field have the greatest potential for UHS. Cap rocks typically comprise fine silt and clay sized particles with porosities of a few percent, permeabilities of <5 mD and thicknesses of >10 m. Reservoir and sealrocks in Taranaki are dominated by silicate minerals (quartz, feldspars, clay) that are unlikely to undergo significant alteration over a typical hydrogen storage cycle. Geochemical modelling of hydrogen-brine-rock systems suggests that reservoir and cap rocks containing sulphates, carbonates (e.g., calcite or dolomite) or pyrite could react with injected hydrogen resulting in mineral dissolution and/or precipitation. Sulphate minerals are generally absent in New Zealand reservoir and seal rocks; many also do not have significant carbonate or pyrite and are considered unlikely to produce adverse reactions. However, carbonate and pyrite content is variable and will need to be assessed for each UHS site. Furthermore, hydrogen-rock reactions are dependent on sub-surface conditions (e.g., temperature, pH, pressure, chemistry) and studies are recommended to predict the degree of rock reactivity and potential resulting changes in rock properties. Preliminary reservoir models were constructed for UHS at three depleted gas fields (Ahuroa, McKee and Rimu) and one saline aquifer (Ahuroa shallow sand). These were characterized using data from well and field reports and published literature. Dynamic (annual) modelling suggests that the depleted reservoirs could have storage capacities up to 850 TJ per well. The McKee scenario has the largest storage due to its high permeability and porosity, thick storage interval and relatively large pressure depletion. Dynamic storage between 55 and 290 TJ at Rimu per well is probably sufficient to accommodate (10 to 15% of) the ~600-770 TJ of hydrogen production estimated for a nearby Waipipi windspill scenario. Static modelling suggests total storage capacity could be 5 PJ at Ahuroa (if converted from natural gas), and 1 PJ at Rimu, which collectively are approaching the estimated requirements of a future hydrogen economy (7 to 18 PJ). These volumes exceed the capacity of other large storage options (cryogenic storage, artificial caverns, linepack). Modelled hydrogen transfer rates are lower at Rimu and McKee (0.45 and 7.0 TJ/d) than Ahuroa (18 to 33 TJ/d). These hydrogen rates are less than the current estimated energy transfer performance for natural gas at Ahuroa (65 TJ/d).Monitoring of UHS is likely to be a regulatory and operational requirement for storage sites. It will ensure that infrastructure (e.g., wells and pipelines) and reservoir performance are within specifications, confirm containment and help manage adverse rock reactions and leakage, which could result in contamination and loss of the recovered hydrogen. Stored hydrogen can be monitored using atmospheric techniques, monitoring wells or geophysical methods. Monitoring wells are widely used in industry and are the most prospective means of confirming stored hydrogen and reservoir-cap rock conditions (pressure, temperature and chemistry). The number of wells will depend on a range of factors including, site conditions, desired resolution and implementation budget. Published studies emphasise the need for case-by-case evaluation using research tailored to a region or reservoir’s particular characteristics. Despite the large datasets available for many depleted oil and gas reservoirsin Taranaki, additional information may be required to support UHS operationalisation by reducing uncertainties. These investigations may include characterisation of 3D geological models, reservoir-cap rock properties, chemical reactions, microbiological activity, reservoir engineering performance and UHS monitoring requirements.Item Open Access New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model framework plan(2020) Gerstenberger M; Van Houtte C; Abbott E; Van Dissen R; Kaiser A; Bradley, Brendon; Nicol A; Rhoades D; Stirling M; Thingbaijam Kprojects led by USQ which trialled various digital technologies for learning in correctional centres. Most notable of these was the Office for Learning and Teaching-funded project, From Access to Success, which developed a version of USQ’s learning management system, a version of Moodle called USQ StudyDesk, which was installed onto the correctional centre education lab serverItem Open Access Evaluation of empirical ground-motion models for New Zealand application(2022) Lee R; Bradley, Brendon; Manea E; Hutchinson JThis report presents an evaluation of empirical ground-motion models for shallow crustal, subduction interface and subduction slab earthquakes using a recently developed New Zealand ground-motion database.Item Open Access Use of Science-Based Prediction to Characterize Reservoir Behavior as a Function of Injection Characteristics, Geological Variables, and Time(2014) Bromhal, Grant; Arcentales Bastidas , Danilo; Birkholzer , Jens; Cihan , Abdullah; Dempsey, David; Fathi , Ebrahim; King , Seth; Pawar , Rajesh; Richard , Tom; Wainwright , Haruko; Zhang , Yingqi; Guthrie , GeorgeThis report summarizes a detailed study designed to generate a baseline understanding of how pressure plumes and carbon dioxide (CO2) plumes behave in CO2 storage reservoirs as a function of storage-site properties, injection conditions, and time. The goal of the study was to provide quantitative insight into how operational and geologic factors can impact risk at storage sites both during injection and post injection.Item Open Access Genetic variation in drying collapse and heartwood properties at mid-rotation age of Eucalyptus globoidea(Elsevier BV, 2022) Ghildiyal , Vikash; Altaner, Clemens; Iyiola, Ebenezer; Sharma, Monika; Apiolaza, Luis AMain causes of drying degrade in most plantation-grown eucalypt timber are collapse and checking. Appropriate but costly sawing and drying techniques are employed to alleviate these problems. Eucalyptus globoidea is an emerging plantation species. This study investigated the genetic control of collapse and other tree features in an E. globoidea breeding population established at three different sites. Using a 14-mm diameter corer, thousands of E. globoidea trees representing 163 families were sampled, and genetic parameters for heartwood and sapwood collapse, extractive content, and heartwood diameter were estimated. Heartwood collapse was under genetic control with a narrow sense heritability ranging from 0.22 to 0.44. Considering the coefficient of genetic variability of ~13–23%, heartwood collapse in E. globoidea can be reduced through selection. The significant genetic correlation between sites for heartwood collapse (rg =0.73–0.83) suggested low genotype by environment (G × E) interaction. In line with the physical causes of collapse, heartwood collapse was positively correlated with extractive content. Extractive content and heartwood diameter are other traits of interest, as E. globoidea is grown for its ground-durable heartwood. The heritability of extractive content ranged from 0.40 to 0.71. Heartwood diameter was shown to be negatively correlated to extractive content. No significant genotype by environment (G ×E) interaction was found for extractive content while genotype by environment (G ×E) interactions for heartwood and sapwood diameter were small. Finally, 12 families had above-average heartwood diameter, extractive content, and below-average heartwood collapse. In summary, this study has shown that genetic selection for collapse and other wood properties of E. globoidea is feasible.Item Open Access A Review of Urban Forest Benefits and Costs(2023) morgenroth, justinEffective urban forest management requires an understanding of tree costs and benefits. Costs can include producing or acquiring trees, site preparation (often including infrastructure requirements), planting, irrigation, inspections and pruning, traffic management, integrated pest management, leaf litter removal, storm cleanup, infrastructure damage, removal, and administration. Benefits, also called ecosystem services, are typically categorised as provisioning, cultural, supporting, or regulating services. The objectives of this report are to provide insight into the economic costs and benefits of urban trees. These objectives were met by thoroughly reviewing existing scientific and grey literature, summarising the reported data, and interpreting the findings. On balance, the benefits of urban trees were found to outweigh the costs. For studies with roughly comparable methods, annual tree benefits ranged from $110.16–$490.06, while annual costs, per tree, generally ranged between roughly $68–$99. Excluding outliers, the studies that reported both costs and benefits of urban trees showed that the benefit-to-cost ratio (BCR) of urban trees ranged between 1.35 and 6.69, with an average of 3.39. This means that for every $1 invested on trees, trees returned $3.39 worth of benefits. Tree size and lifespan, both related to species, had an influence on tree BCR. Generally speaking, the larger a tree and the longer it lives, the greater the tree’s benefit-to-cost ratio. Modelled values show that, on average, large trees (BCR = 3.93) have a BCR 2.8 times greater than small trees (BCR = 1.4). Costs were known with greater certainty than estimates of the economic value of benefits. Costs are relatively accurately quantified in budgets. In contrast, many benefits remain unquantified or under-quantified with most studies focusing on a small number of benefits. This under-quantification of urban forest benefits suggests that the BCRs reported in many studies are conservative and that the benefits of investments in urban trees are likely greater than the average BCR of 3.39 presented in this report. No New Zealand-based studies exist from which to draw knowledge. To gain a local accurate estimate of urban tree benefits and costs, Auckland Council should consider undertaking its own assessment using the newly available i-Tree NZ. This proposed local study would give Auckland Council greater certainty over the benefits and costs associated with the urban trees they manage, rather than having to rely on overseas studies.Item Open Access New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model 2022 revision: model, hazard and process overview(2022) Gerstenberger M; Bora S; Bradley, Brendon; DiCaprio, C.; Van Dissen, R.J.; Atkinson, G.M.; Chamberlain, C.; Christophersen, A.; Clark, K.J.; Coffey, G.L.; de la Torre, Christopher; Ellis, S.M.; Fraser, J.; Graham, K.; Griffin, J.The New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) 2022 revision has involved significant revision of al datasets and model components. In this report we present a subset of the many results from the model, as well as an overview of the governance, scientific and review processes followed by the NSHM team.Item Open Access 2021 New Zealand Ground-Motion Database(2022) Hutchinson J; Bradley, Brendon; Lee, Robin; Wotherspoon L; Dupuis M; Schill C; Motha J; Kaiser, A.E.; Manea EThis report summarises the development of the 2021 New Zealand ground-motion database.Item Open Access Summary of the ground-motion characterisation model for the 2022 New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model(2022) Bradley, Brendon; Bora, S.; Lee, Robin; Manea, E.F.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Stafford, P.J.; Atkinson, G.M.; Weatherill, G.; Hutchinson, J.; de la Torre, Christopher; Hulsey, A.; Kaiser, A.E.; Van Dissen, R.J.Item Open Access Combining observed linear basin amplification factors with 1D nonlinear site-response analyses to predict site response for strong ground motions: application to Wellington, New Zealand(2022) de la Torre, Christopher; Bradley, Brendon; Kuncar F; Lee, Robin; Wotherspoon, L.M.; Kaiser, A.E.Item Open Access 3D geological modelling of Wellington Quaternary sediments and basin geometry(2022) Hill, M.P.; Kaiser, A.E.; Wotherspoon, L.M.; Manea, E.F.; Lee, Robin; de la Torre, Christopher; Bradley, BrendonItem Open Access 2022 Revision of the National Seismic Hazard Model for New Zealand: overview of site/basin effects, including a case study of the Wellington Basin(2022) Kaiser, A.E.; Manea, E.F.; Wotherspoon, L.M.; Hill, M.P.; Lee, Robin; de la Torre, Christopher; Stolte, A.C.; Bora, S.; Bradley, Brendon; Hulsey, A.; Gerstenberger, M.C.This paper tells the story of a collaborative trial project between the University of Southern Queensland (USQ) and Queensland Corrective Services, from its inception to the present stage of near completion. The project involved the use of internet-independent ICT for prisoner education. A major aim was to enable prisoners to greatly enhance their employment and further education prospects by developing their e-literacy/learning skills. The project involved the development of an internet-independent form of a USQ course Moodle site that could be placed on a correctional centre server intra-netted to computer labs for educational use by prisoners. Additionally, participating prisoners were individually supplied with internet-independent e-readers containing the course study materials. The trial commenced at the start of semester 2, 2012. Student support in the use of the Moodle site and the e-readers was provided by correctional centre staff and through regular visits by USQ Tertiary Preparation Program (TPP) teachers. The evaluation plan for the trial included gathering weekly feedback from the students via an evaluation instrument in the Moodle site, and from the correctional centre staff. The paper provides an account of the numerous challenges encountered and overcome by the project team, and a summary evaluation of the trial project.