On the Practice of Lagging VariablesTo Avoid Simultaneity
Type of content
Discussion / Working Papers
UC permalink
Publisher's DOI/URI
Thesis discipline
Degree name
Publisher
University of Canterbury. Department of Economics and Finance
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Language
Date
2014
Authors
Reed, W. Robert
Abstract
A common practice in applied economics research consists of replacing a suspected simultaneously-determined explanatory variable with its lagged value. This note demonstrates that this practice does not enable one to avoid simultaneity bias. The associated estimates are still inconsistent, and hypothesis testing is invalid. One alternative is to use lagged values of the endogenous variable in instrumental variable estimation. However, this is only an effective estimation strategy if the lagged values do not themselves belong in the respective estimating equation, and if they are sufficiently correlated with the simultaneously-determined explanatory variable.
Description
Citation
Reed, R. W. (2014) On the Practice of Lagging Variables
To Avoid Simultaneity. 14pp..
Keywords
simultaneity, reverse causality, lagged variables
Ngā upoko tukutuku/Māori subject headings
ANZSRC fields of research
Fields of Research::38 - Economics::3802 - Econometrics::380202 - Econometric and statistical methods
Fields of Research::38 - Economics::3802 - Econometrics::380203 - Economic models and forecasting
Fields of Research::38 - Economics::3802 - Econometrics::380203 - Economic models and forecasting