Calibration of trip distribution by generalised linear models

dc.contributor.authorShrewsbury, John Stephen
dc.date.accessioned2013-05-09T03:18:57Z
dc.date.available2013-05-09T03:18:57Z
dc.date.issued2012en
dc.description.abstractGeneralised linear models (GLMs) provide a flexible and sound basis for calibrating gravity models for trip distribution, for a wide range of deterrence functions (from steps to splines), with K factors and geographic segmentation. The Tanner function fitted Wellington Transport Strategy Model data as well as more complex functions and was insensitive to the formulation of intrazonal and external costs. Weighting from variable expansion factors and interpretation of the deviance under sparsity are addressed. An observed trip matrix is disaggregated and fitted at the household, person and trip levels with consistent results. Hierarchical GLMs (HGLMs) are formulated to fit mixed logit models, but were unable to reproduce the coefficients of simple nested logit models. Geospatial analysis by HGLM showed no evidence of spatial error patterns, either as random K factors or as correlations between them. Equivalence with hierarchical mode choice, duality with trip distribution, regularisation, lorelograms, and the modifiable areal unit problem are considered. Trip distribution is calibrated from aggregate data by the MVESTM matrix estimation package, incorporating period and direction factors in the intercepts. Counts across four screenlines showed a significance similar to a thousand-household travel survey. Calibration was possible only in conjuction with trip end data. Criteria for validation against screenline counts were met, but only if allowance was made for error in the trip end data.en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10092/7685
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.26021/3132
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherUniversity of Canterbury. Department of Civil and Natuaral Resources Engineeringen
dc.relation.isreferencedbyNZCUen
dc.rightsCopyright John Stephen Shrewsburyen
dc.rights.urihttps://canterbury.libguides.com/rights/thesesen
dc.subjectCalibrationen
dc.subjectdeterrence functionen
dc.subjectdevianceen
dc.subjectgeospatialen
dc.subjectgravityen
dc.subjecthierarchical generalised linear modelen
dc.subjectmatrix estimationen
dc.subjectmixed logiten
dc.subjectMVESTMen
dc.subjectregressionen
dc.subjectsparsityen
dc.subjecttransport modelen
dc.subjecttrip distributionen
dc.titleCalibration of trip distribution by generalised linear modelsen
dc.typeTheses / Dissertations
thesis.degree.disciplineTransportation Engineering
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Canterburyen
thesis.degree.levelDoctoralen
thesis.degree.nameDoctor of Philosophyen
uc.bibnumber1928423
uc.collegeFaculty of Engineeringen
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