A comparison of Logistic and Harvey models for electricity consumption in New Zealand
| dc.contributor.author | Mohamed, Z. | |
| dc.contributor.author | Bodger, P.S. | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2008-08-26T02:14:24Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2008-08-26T02:14:24Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2005 | en |
| dc.description.abstract | There have been a number of forecasting models based on various forms of the logistic growth curve. This paper investigates the effectiveness of two forms of Harvey models and a Logistic model for forecasting electricity consumption in New Zealand. The three growth curve models are applied to the Domestic and Non-Domestic sectors and Total electricity consumption in New Zealand. The developed models are compared using their goodness of fit to historical data and forecasting accuracy over a period of 19 years. The comparison revealed that the Harvey model is a very appropriate candidate for forecasting electricity consumption in New Zealand. The developed models are also compared with some available national forecasts. | en |
| dc.identifier.citation | Mohamed, Z., Bodger, P.S. (2005) A comparison of Logistic and Harvey models for electricity consumption in New Zealand. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 72(2), pp. 1030-1043. | en |
| dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2004.05.002 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10092/796 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.publisher | University of Canterbury. Electrical and Computer Engineering. | en |
| dc.rights.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10092/17651 | en |
| dc.subject | forecasting | en |
| dc.subject | energy | en |
| dc.subject | growth curve models | en |
| dc.subject | logistic growth | en |
| dc.subject.marsden | Fields of Research::290000 Engineering and Technology::290900 Electrical and Electronic Engineering::290901 Electrical engineering | en |
| dc.title | A comparison of Logistic and Harvey models for electricity consumption in New Zealand | en |
| dc.type | Journal Article |