An Analysis of Agricultural Systems Modelling Approaches and Examples to Support Future Policy Development under Disruptive Changes in New Zealand

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dc.contributor.authorVannier, Clemence
dc.contributor.authorCochrane, Thomas
dc.contributor.authorZawar-Reza, Peyman
dc.contributor.authorBellamy, Larry
dc.date.accessioned2023-01-20T03:04:38Z
dc.date.available2023-01-20T03:04:38Z
dc.date.issued2022en
dc.date.updated2023-01-10T00:42:54Z
dc.description.abstractAgricultural systems have entered a period of significant disruption due to impacts from change drivers, increasingly stringent environmental regulations and the need to reduce unwanted discharges, and emerging technologies and biotechnologies. Governments and industries are developing strategies to respond to the risks and opportunities associated with these disruptors. Modelling is a useful tool for system conceptualisation, understanding, and scenario testing. Today, New Zealand and other nations need integrated modelling tools at the national scale to help industries and stakeholders plan for future disruptive changes. In this paper, following a scoping review process, we analyse modelling approaches and available agricultural systems’ model examples per thematic applications at the regional to national scale to define the best options for the national policy development. Each modelling approach has specificities, such as stakeholder engagement capacity, complex systems reproduction, predictive or prospective scenario testing, and users should consider coupling approaches for greater added value. The efficiency of spatial decision support tools working with a system dynamics approach can help holistically in stakeholders’ participation and understanding, and for improving land planning and policy. This model combination appears to be the most appropriate for the New Zealand national context.en
dc.identifier.citationVannier C, Cochrane TA, Reza PZ, Bellamy L (2022). An Analysis of Agricultural Systems Modelling Approaches and Examples to Support Future Policy Development under Disruptive Changes in New Zealand. Applied Sciences (Switzerland). 12(5). 2746-2746.en
dc.identifier.doihttp://doi.org/10.3390/app12052746
dc.identifier.issn2076-3417
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10092/105029
dc.languageen
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherMDPI AGen
dc.rightsAll rights reserved unless otherwise stateden
dc.rights.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10092/17651en
dc.subjectdecision-making supporten
dc.subjectintegrated modellingen
dc.subjectpolicy developmenten
dc.subjectregional to national scaleen
dc.subjectdata and skillsen
dc.subject.anzsrcFields of Research::30 - Agricultural, veterinary and food sciences::3002 - Agriculture, land and farm management::300207 - Agricultural systems analysis and modellingen
dc.subject.anzsrcFields of Research::30 - Agricultural, veterinary and food sciences::3002 - Agriculture, land and farm management::300205 - Agricultural production systems simulationen
dc.subject.anzsrcFields of Research::44 - Human society::4407 - Policy and administration::440703 - Economic development policyen
dc.subject.anzsrcFields of Research::44 - Human society::4407 - Policy and administration::440704 - Environment policyen
dc.titleAn Analysis of Agricultural Systems Modelling Approaches and Examples to Support Future Policy Development under Disruptive Changes in New Zealanden
dc.typeJournal Articleen
uc.collegeFaculty of Engineering
uc.departmentCivil and Natural Resources Engineering
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