Model-Based Insulin Sensitivity as a Sepsis Diagnostic in Critical Care

dc.contributor.authorBlakemore, A.
dc.contributor.authorWang, S.
dc.contributor.authorLe Compte, A.J.
dc.contributor.authorWong, X.W.
dc.contributor.authorShaw, Geoff
dc.contributor.authorLotz, T.
dc.contributor.authorHann, C.E.
dc.contributor.authorChase, Geoff
dc.date.accessioned2009-06-08T20:36:54Z
dc.date.available2009-06-08T20:36:54Z
dc.date.issued2008en
dc.description.abstractBackground: Timely diagnosis and treatment of sepsis in critical care require significant clinical effort, experience, and resources. Insulin sensitivity is known to decrease with worsening condition and could thus be used to aid diagnosis. Some glycemic control protocols are able to identify insulin sensitivity in real time. Methods: Receiver operating characteristic curves and cutoff insulin sensitivity values for diagnosing sepsis were calculated for model-based insulin sensitivity (SI) and a simpler metric (SSI) that was estimated from glycemic control data of 30 patients with sepsis and can be calculated in real time without use of a computer. Results were compared to the insulin sensitivity profiles of a general intensive care unit population of 113 patients without sepsis and 30 patients with sepsis, comprising a total of 26,453 patient hours. Patients with sepsis were identified as having sepsis based on a sepsis score (ss) of 3 or higher (ss = 0–4 for increasing severity). Patients with type I or type II diabetes were excluded. Ethics approval for this study was granted by the South Island Regional Ethics Committee. Results: Receiver operating characteristic cutoff values of SI = 8 × 10-5 liter mU-1 min-1 and SSI = 2.8 × 10-4 liter mU-1 min-1 were determined for ss = 3. The model-based SI fell below this value in 15% of all patient hours. The SI test had a negative predictive value of 99.8%. The test sensitivity was 78% and specificity was 82%. However, the positive predictor value was 2.8%. Slightly lower sensitivity (68.8%) and specificity (81.7%), but equally good negative prediction (99.7%), were obtained for the estimated SSI. Conclusions: Insulin sensitivity provides a negative predictive diagnostic for sepsis. High insulin sensitivity rules out sepsis for the majority of patient hours and may be determined noninvasively in real time from glycemic control protocol data. Low insulin sensitivity is not an effective diagnostic, as it can equally mark the presence of sepsis or other conditions.en
dc.identifier.citationBlakemore, A., Wang, S., Le Compte, A.J., Wong, X.W., Shaw, G.M., Lotz, T., Hann, C.E., Chase, J.G. (2008) Model-Based Insulin Sensitivity as a Sepsis Diagnostic in Critical Care. Journal of Diabetes Science and Technology, 2(3), pp. 468-477.en
dc.identifier.issn1932-2968
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10092/2524
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherUniversity of Canterbury. Mechanical Engineering.en
dc.rights.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10092/17651en
dc.subject.marsdenFields of Research::290000 Engineering and Technology::291500 Biomedical Engineering::291504 Biomechanical engineeringen
dc.subject.marsdenFields of Research::320000 Medical and Health Sciences::321000 Clinical Sciences::321004 Endocrinologyen
dc.subject.marsdenFields of Research::320000 Medical and Health Sciences::321000 Clinical Sciences::321009 Intensive careen
dc.titleModel-Based Insulin Sensitivity as a Sepsis Diagnostic in Critical Careen
dc.typeJournal Article
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