Forecasting Christchurch Urban Electricity demand and Energy using Day-type Corrections
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Customized electricity-forecasting models are developed to predict short to midterm electricity demand and energy consumption, to reflect Christchurch’s unique load structure and weather characteristics. The developed forecasting models employ weather and day-type correlation, by taking into consideration historical load and weather data with respect to different type of days, such as Workdays, Saturday, Sunday, Public Holidays, and the concept of linear-proportionality between temperature and load demand. It is observed that the Christchurch urban area has a winter peaking characteristic, with the highest and lowest daily average load demand and energy consumption occurring on each working Monday or Tuesday and Sunday/Public Holiday respectively.