Neill SLee RBradley, Brendon2021-09-222021-09-222020Neill S, Bradley B, Lee R (2020). Ground motion simulation validation with explicit uncertainty incorporation for small magnitude earthquakes in New Zealand. Nelson, New Zealand: QuakeCoRE Annual Meeting.https://hdl.handle.net/10092/102522This study explicitly includes source, path and site uncertainties into physics-based ground motion simulations, in order to account for: inherent modelling restrictions, ground motion randomness and modelling errors. These uncertainties are propagated through the model to produce a range of realisations for a given intensity measure, site and event. Once validated, these probabilistic distributions will provide a more reliable prediction of possible ground motions. Figure 1 illustrates an example of a deterministic and probabilistic response spectra.enAll rights reserved unless otherwise statedConference Contributions - Published2021-07-05Fields of Research::37 - Earth sciences::3706 - Geophysics::370609 - Seismology and seismic exploration