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    A Method for Inferring Batting Conditions in ODI Cricket from Historical Data (2011)

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    12637455_Hogan.pdf (667.6Kb)
    Type of Content
    Discussion / Working Papers
    UC Permalink
    http://hdl.handle.net/10092/6406
    
    Publisher
    College of Business and Economics, University of Canterbury
    University of Canterbury. Department of Economics and Finance
    Related resource(s)
    http://www.econ.canterbury.ac.nz/RePEc/cbt/econwp/1144.pdf
    Collections
    • Business: Working Papers [193]
    • Working Papers in Economics [142]
    Authors
    Brooker, S.
    Hogan, S.
    show all
    Abstract

    This paper is part of a wider research programme using a dynamic-programming approach to modelling the choices about the amount of risk to take by batting and bowling teams in One Day International cricket. An important confounding variable in this analysis is the ground conditions (size of ground, nature of pitch and weather conditions) that affect how many runs can be scored for a given amount of risk. This variable does not exist in our historical data set and would regardless be very difficult to accurately observe on the day of a match. In this paper, we consider a way of estimating a distribution for the ground conditions using only the information contained in the first-innings score and the result of the match. The approach uses this information to estimate the importance of ground conditions in the determination of first innings total scores. We assume a functional form for a model of first innings scores and we estimate the parameters of our model using Monte Carlo methods. We test the impact of a significant rule change and we apply our findings to selected matches before and after the new rules came into play.

    Citation
    Brooker, S., Hogan, S. (2011) A Method for Inferring Batting Conditions in ODI Cricket from Historical Data. Department of Economics and Finance. 31pp..
    This citation is automatically generated and may be unreliable. Use as a guide only.
    Keywords
    ODI cricket; batting conditions; nuisance variable
    ANZSRC Fields of Research
    38 - Economics::3802 - Econometrics::380202 - Econometric and statistical methods
    35 - Commerce, management, tourism and services::3504 - Commercial services::350405 - Sport and leisure management
    Rights
    https://hdl.handle.net/10092/17651

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