Assessing the risk to suburban activities associated with transport energy availability as a function of urban form (2006)
AuthorsDantas, A., Krumdieck, S., Saunders, M.show all
This paper describes method to model the energy reliance of transport activities within a suburb. The method employs risk analysis techniques to determine the vulnerability of suburban developments to a fuel shortage event or crisis. The focus of this work is on preliminary assessments of the vulnerability of developments, not on determining post-crisis behavior changes, which may affect mode choices and travel patterns. Energy shortages are modeled as a constraint on existing levels of fuel consumption and vulnerability is determined by comparing current residential fuel consumption to a constrained energy availability scenario (fuel shortage). A case study in a new suburban development in Christchurch, New Zealand, illustrates the vulnerability for accessing an important activity, food shopping, and indicates the degree of impact which would precipitate behavioral and physical changes.
CitationDantas, A., Krumdieck, S., Saunders, M., (2006) Assessing the risk to suburban activities associated with transport energy availability as a function of urban form. Washington, DC, USA: Transportation Research Board 85th Annual Meeting, 22-26 Jan 2006. Paper #06-2980 (23 pp).
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