Assessing the risk to suburban activities associated with transport energy availability as a function of urban form

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Conference Contributions - Published
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University of Canterbury. Civil Engineering.
University of Canterbury. Mechanical Engineering.
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Date
2006
Authors
Dantas, A.
Krumdieck, S.
Saunders, M.
Abstract

This paper describes method to model the energy reliance of transport activities within a suburb. The method employs risk analysis techniques to determine the vulnerability of suburban developments to a fuel shortage event or crisis. The focus of this work is on preliminary assessments of the vulnerability of developments, not on determining post-crisis behavior changes, which may affect mode choices and travel patterns. Energy shortages are modeled as a constraint on existing levels of fuel consumption and vulnerability is determined by comparing current residential fuel consumption to a constrained energy availability scenario (fuel shortage). A case study in a new suburban development in Christchurch, New Zealand, illustrates the vulnerability for accessing an important activity, food shopping, and indicates the degree of impact which would precipitate behavioral and physical changes.

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Citation
Dantas, A., Krumdieck, S., Saunders, M., (2006) Assessing the risk to suburban activities associated with transport energy availability as a function of urban form. Washington, DC, USA: Transportation Research Board 85th Annual Meeting, 22-26 Jan 2006. Paper #06-2980 (23 pp).
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