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    On-going challenges in physics-based ground motion prediction and insights from the 2010-2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes (2017)

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    Bradley_OngoingChallengesGmSimulation_AEES_Canberra_2017-1.pdf (41.75Mb)
    Type of Content
    Conference Contributions - Published
    UC Permalink
    http://hdl.handle.net/10092/15854
    
    Publisher's DOI/URI
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2018.04.042
    
    ISSN
    0267-7261
    Collections
    • Engineering: Conference Contributions [2344]
    Authors
    Bradley, Brendon cc
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    Abstract

    This paper presents on-going challenges in the present paradigm shift of earthquakeinduced ground motion prediction from empirical to physics-based simulation methods. The 2010-2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura earthquakes are used to illustrate the predictive potential of the different methods. On-going efforts on simulation validation and theoretical developments are then presented, as well as the demands associated with the need for explicit consideration of modelling uncertainties. Finally, discussion is also given to the tools and databases needed for the efficient utilization of simulated ground motions both in specific engineering projects as well as for near-real-time impact assessment.

    Keywords
    Physics-based ground motion simulation; 2010-2011 Canterbury earthquakes; 2016 Kaikoura earthquake
    ANZSRC Fields of Research
    40 - Engineering::4005 - Civil engineering::400506 - Earthquake engineering
    37 - Earth sciences::3706 - Geophysics::370609 - Seismology and seismic exploration
    Rights
    Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial No Derivatives License

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