University of Canterbury Home
    • Admin
    UC Research Repository
    UC Library
    JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.
    View Item 
    1. UC Home
    2. Library
    3. UC Research Repository
    4. UC Research Centres
    5. Gateway Antarctica
    6. Gateway Antarctica: Supervised Project Reports
    7. View Item
    1. UC Home
    2.  > 
    3. Library
    4.  > 
    5. UC Research Repository
    6.  > 
    7. UC Research Centres
    8.  > 
    9. Gateway Antarctica
    10.  > 
    11. Gateway Antarctica: Supervised Project Reports
    12.  > 
    13. View Item

    Weather Forecasting Accuracy Ross Island, Antarctica (2010)

    Thumbnail
    View/Open
    McKenzie, C Ross Island Weather Forecast Accuracy.pdf (1.170Mb)
    Type of Content
    Theses / Dissertations
    UC Permalink
    http://hdl.handle.net/10092/14182
    
    Thesis Discipline
    Science
    Degree Name
    Postgraduate Certificate in Antarctic Studies
    Language
    English
    Collections
    • Gateway Antarctica: Supervised Project Reports [251]
    Authors
    McKenzie, Chris
    show all
    Abstract

    The forecast accuracy of AMPS (Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System) for the Ross Island region was analysed during 20th to 31st December 2009. Forecast outputs are correlated with AWS (automatic weather stations) observations at five sites around Ross Island. Results are presented in the appendix. Appendix 1 presents the PCAS (Post Graduate Certificate in Antarctica Studies) AWS observations and corresponding forecasts, appendix 2 Windless Bight AWS, appendix 3 Willie Field AWS, appendix 4 Emilia AWS and appendix 5 is a case study of Christmas day. Air pressure was forecasted the most accurately for all forecast hours, resulting in a <3hpa variance and AMPS bias not greater than -2.45hpa. The timing of a change in temperature was accurately forecasted within 2 hours but the extent of the change was less accurate. Relative humidly was lower than forecasted over Christmas day with a +16% AMPS bias. This paper discusses the most notable results found in the appendix in an aim to determine forecast accuracy.

    Rights
    All Rights Reserved

    Related items

    Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.

    • The Past is the Key to the Future How will West Antarctica Ice sheet respond to the current climatic warming? 

      McKenzie, Chris (University of Canterbury, 2010)
      The West Antarctica Ice Sheet (WAIS) is warming and is predicted to continue for decades to come (IPCC, 2007). How will WAIS respond to this warming? To answer this question we need to know how it responded to climate ...
    • Windmills in Antarctica 

      McKenzie, Chris; Stephen, Kim; Xin, Zhang; Wagner, Matthias; Wainwright, Daniel (2010)
      Scott Base, the New Zealand research station on Ross Island in Antarctica was 100% dependent on fossil fuel and diesel generators to satisfy power and heat, until the summer of 2010. To cover this demand, the fuel was ...
    • Antarctica's cultural heritage 

      McKenzie, Jacinta; McEldowney, Jessie; Talbot, Peter (2013)
      Cultural heritage is a dynamic concept, incorporating the ideas and values of many different organisations and individuals; it is heavily dependent on the context of the item or site being conserved, and transforms ...
    Advanced Search

    Browse

    All of the RepositoryCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsThesis DisciplineThis CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsThesis Discipline

    Statistics

    View Usage Statistics
    • SUBMISSIONS
    • Research Outputs
    • UC Theses
    • CONTACTS
    • Send Feedback
    • +64 3 369 3853
    • ucresearchrepository@canterbury.ac.nz
    • ABOUT
    • UC Research Repository Guide
    • Copyright and Disclaimer
    • SUBMISSIONS
    • Research Outputs
    • UC Theses
    • CONTACTS
    • Send Feedback
    • +64 3 369 3853
    • ucresearchrepository@canterbury.ac.nz
    • ABOUT
    • UC Research Repository Guide
    • Copyright and Disclaimer