Deforestation Survey 2013 Final Report
Information on future rates of deforestation is needed to assist with projecting New Zealand’s likely emissions over the second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol, to provide information needed to assist with future climate change negotiations and to assist with future policy development. This study was commissioned to: 1. Update deforestation intentions last collected in a survey in late 2012. Deforestation intentions are required under the current Emissions Trading Scheme along with the level of deforestation that would occur without an ETS. 2. Identify and include any new information sources on deforestation. 3. Provide an estimate of the area deforested in the year ended December 2012 and an estimate of the area expected to be deforested in the year ended December 2013. 4. Quantify future deforestation intentions for 2014-2020. 5. Provide informed commentary on the uncertainty around deforestation intentions and how and why company deforestation intentions have changed since the survey conducted in late 2012. 6. Gather information on the level of avoided deforestation that would occur with the domestic land offsetting policy, and 7. Gauge how forest land-owners are likely to alter future deforestation intentions based on the Emissions Trading Scheme under different carbon price scenarios. The scope of this report is limited to New Zealand plantation forests. The general approach followed was a structured review of the deforestation intentions of large-scale forest owners based on a telephone survey and other information gathering. Respondents were asked for their deforestation intentions under two different scenarios: 1. Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) – this assumes that the ETS legislation as amended under the Climate Change Response (Emissions Trading and Other Matters) Amendment Act 2012 (enacted on 13 November 2012) continues unchanged. As part of this scenario respondents were asked how much area of offset planting they would undertake. 2. No ETS legislation – this assumes that the ETS is repealed and not replaced by any other legislation. Results from the survey of large-scale forest owners were collated and interpreted. Allowance was made for deforestation by small-scale owners.
SubjectsField of Research::07 - Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences::0705 - Forestry Sciences::070504 - Forestry Management and Environment
- Engineering: Reports